July 30 HK WRAP -173pts T/O +23% DoD. Broke 25k but then...


03 Aug

July 30 HK WRAP -173pts  T/O +23% DoD. Broke 25k but then...

HSI -173pts (-0.7%) 24,711  HSCEI -87pts (-0.9%) 10,097  T/O HK$128.37bn (+22.9% DoD)  

EUROPE Markets opened lower with earnings in focus after Credit Suisse, Volkswagen and Renault among the corporate giants that reported before the bell.
US Futures opened flat but sold down; currently Dow -250pts, S&P and NDX weak ahead of big tech earnings.

EARNINGS include Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Procter and Gamble, Comcast, Ford, Shake Shack, Dunkin Brands, Cigna, Dupont, Eli Lily, Northrop Grumman, Textron, Valero, ConocoPhillips, Comcast, Kellogg, AstraZeneca, Kraft Heinz, Southern Co., Stryker, Generac, Stanley Black and Decker, Marsh and McLennan, Electronic Arts


INDEXES
CSI 300 Closed -23pts (-0.5%) @ 4,656 
Market opened slightly higher and initially tested higher to the day high (4,705) but then trended lower in choppy trading for the rest of the day. Day low was 4,650 about 30 mins before the close.Chinese yuan was weaker on US/China tensions, while ChiNext and Star Board indexes both saw weakness. Construction Materials and Pharm names were outperormers.

HSI Pre Market +96pts @ 24,979 vs +72pts ADRs @ 24,955 With most E commerce names +VE except Meituan -0.4%. Pharma strong on rising covid cases.
Having opened at 25k market saw some initial consolidation down to 24,925 level in the first 30 minutes. Then worked higher for the rest of the morning to the day high 25,200 level at 11:45am. It then eased back into lunch. PM saw inital selling back down to the 25k level which though tested several times held for about 75 minutes. But then it collapsed and the market sold down to 24,800, and then 24,630. It saw a 75pt bounce and then traded sideways into the close. Increased turnover on a down day a slight -VE and likely to trigger some early margin selling tomorrow.


AFTER MARKET
Li Ka Shing Foundation Adds $101M Medical Support 
to 'Love Can Help II’ The coverage will be extended from local medical services to the social welfare sector.
Standard Chartered Bank (Hong Kong) Mary Huen Wai-yi, chief executive officer said the NIM of the bank will still come under downside pressure in 2H20, yet cautious provision was made in 1H20. She hoped that a result turnaround could be manifested upon economic recovery in 2H20. In 1H20, the bank reported a profit before tax decline of 19% YoY to $5.501 billion; and revenue fall of 1% YoY to $14.277 billion.
WHARF REIC (1997.HK) interim results ended 30 June 2020. Underlying net profit -26% annually to HK$3.844 billion. Inclusive of net investment properties revaluation deficit of HK$7.35 billion, the Group swung into loss of HK$4.454 billion from profit of HK$6.989 billion over a year ago. LPS equaled HK$1.47. An interim DPS of HK$0.78 was declared, against HK$1.1 over a year ago. Interim dividend payout ratio stayed unchanged.
Centa Valuation Index (Major Banks) (CVI) last printed at 45.31 this week, -2.86 pts weekly. Centaline Property, said CVI stood firmly around 45 for three weeks with a stabilizing sign. They believe the index will struggle in short run as the epidemic has yet to worsen further.

Market and Pre Market News at bottom of page.


Regional Markets
JAPAN 
opened slightly higher, Retail sales were better than forecast but the market drifted lower all day. Closed -0.3%
S KOREA opened higher but drifted lower, tested flat and then bounced before trading sideways; Solid earnings from Samsung Operating profit +23% on strong chip sales. Kosdaq Closed +0.7% and the Kospi +0.2%.Samsung results https://news.samsung.com/global/samsung-electronics-announces-second-quarter-2020-results
TAIWAN opened much higher, saw some initial selling but now trending higher on good earnings especially in the Tech sector Closed +1.5%

Short Selling HSI Thursday 20.7% vs 17.9% Wednesday
Top Shorts 
Hang Seng Bank (11) 38%, Ping An (2318) 37%, Bank of China (3988) 36%, CCB (939) 32%, China Shenhua (1088) 30%, MTRC (66) 28%, Mengniu Dairy (2319) 28%, BoC (HK) (2388) 28%, Henderson Land (12) 27%, NWD (17) 26%, Hengan (1044) 25%.

CONNECT FLOWS
Shanghai
Northbound Rmb 47,953m Sell 24,764m : 23,189m Buy
Southbound HK$ 11,231m Sell 4,314m : 6,917m Buy
Shenzhen
Northbound Rmb 70,688m Sell 37,726m : 32,963m Buy
Southbound HK$ 12,500m Sell 4,762m : 7,737m Buy

DATA
CHINA No data
HONG KONG
Centre for Health Protection said there were 149 
additional COVID-19 cases in Hong Kong today; 145 were locally transmitted.
HK RETAIL SALES Jun -24.8% YoY vs -32.9% May revised (F/cast was -29%)
It was the 17th consecutive decline in retail trade, as sales continued to fall at department stores (-7%); for other consumer good, not elsewhere classified (-10%); food, alcoholic drinks & tobacco (-13.2%); jewellery, watches and clocks (-56.5%); electrical goods & other consumer durable goods (-8.8%); wearing apparel (-38.8%); medicines & cosmetics (-57.4%); motor vehicles & parts (-17.9%); footwear, allied products & other clothing accessories (-39.7%); Chinese drugs & herbs (-29.0%); books, newspapers, stationery and gifts (-41.3%); and optical shops (-32.5%). On a seasonally adjusted quarterly basis, retail sales went up 4 percent in the three months to June 2020 compared with the prior quarter.

Active Heavyweights
AIA (1299.HK) -2.4%
CCB (939.HK) -1.5%
HKEX (388.HK) -1.3%
TENCENT (700.HK) -1.2%
PING AN (2318.HK) +0.0%

HSI & HSCEI Constituents on the move
CSPC PHARMA (1093.HK) +5.1%
PSBC (1658.HK) -3.3%

HSMI & HSSI Constituents on the move
GOLDWIND (2208.HK) +16.7%
COFCO MEAT (1610.HK) +15.8%, hits new high
CHINA LONGYUAN (916.HK) +13%, hits new high
CNBM (3323.HK) +9.3%, hits new high
KINGDEE INT'L (268.HK) +7.1%, hits new high
E-HOUSE ENT (2048.HK) +6%, hits new high


COMMENT
*PHARMA MIXED
CANSINO BIOLOGICS (6185 HK +7.7%) plans to raise 5.20b yuan through a listing on the Shanghai's Star board, and SSY (2005 HK +3.5%) on possible asset spin-off and listing plan in the mainland. Sector continuing traded mixed amid vaccine/drug speculations. INNOVENT (1801 HK -0.8%) 3SBIO (1530 HK -2.2%) SINOPHARM (1099 HK -0.2%) GENESCRIPT (1548 HK +4.9%) SINO BIO (1177 HK +1.7%).
*TECH & COMPONENTS MIXED  on earnings speculation. ASM PAC (522 HK -6%) profit-taking despite 1H net profit more than doubled YoY to HK$391m, driven by rising 5G sector demand. BYDE (285 HK +1.1%) AAC (2018 HK +1.5%) remained strong amid 1H earnings speculation.
*E-COMMERCE FIRM  ALIBABA (9988 HK +0.74%) and MEITUAN (3690 HK +1%) amid index inclusion speculation. Meanwhile, LI AUTO INC. will sell $380m in Class A ordinary shares to some existing shareholders, including a Bytedance Ltd. affiliate, via private placements. Company says a MEITUAN DIANPING affiliate will buy $300m in shares while the Bytedance affiliate will buy $30m in the transaction. Company is concurrently selling 95m ADS in an IPO.
*HK PROPERTY FIRM after VANKE PROP (Hong Kong) and CNQC INTL (1240 HK +8%) won the residential site at Ma Wo Road in Tai Po for HK$3.7b, in line with market estimates. This indicates that developers are positive about the outlook for the local home market, said Centaline. SHKP (16 HK +1.6%) NWD (17 HK +2.9%).HANG LUNG (101 HK +0.4%) underlying net profit attributable to shareholders -11% to HK$1,989m and a net loss attributable to shareholders of HK$2,537m.
*CONSTRUCTION FIRM Benefits from demand from recovery projects following the flood disaster. CONCH (914 HK +1.1%) CNBM (3323 HK +9.3%) ASIA CEMENT (743 HK +3.1%) CR CEMENT (1313 HK +2.4%)
*POST-EARNINGS MOVES: 
PRADA (1913 HK +4.9%) reported a net loss of 180m euros during 1H, with Asia-Pacific retail sales falling 18.8% as HK and Macau markets suffer from the pandemic. Losses per share were 0.70 euros and the company has suspended dividends. Retail net sales for 1H totaled 835m euros, down 32% YoY.
BUDWEISER APAC (1876 HK +4.9%) 1H net income US$185m, -69% YoY, 2Q net income US$226m, and 2Q Change in beer volume -6.1%.
STAN CHART (2888 HK -1.9%) 1H underlying profit before tax -25% to $2.0b, but 2Q earnings beat expectations.

NEWS
MARKET HOURS
China in 1H20, realised online retail sales of goods of RMB4.35 trillion, +14.3% yearly,
said Gao Feng, spokesman of Ministry of Commerce. Meanwhile, the number of online shoppers surged 100 million yearly, with the number of online retail stores +3.8% yearly.
The Government announced that as the local epidemic situation remains severe, it is necessary to continue to take measures to significantly reduce the flow of people and social contacts in order to stop COVID-19 from further spreading in the community. A spokesman for the Government announced that the special work arrangement for government employees will be extended for one week until August 9. Save for those involved in the provision of emergency services and essential public services, all other government employees will continue to work from home. The Government will closely monitor the epidemic situation and review the arrangement in due course.
Some MEITUAN-W (3690.HK) users have discovered the app no longer supports Alipay, only offering payment options like Meituan Monthly Pay, debit cards, WeChat Pay and Apple Pay. In response, MEITUAN-W co-founder Wang Xing asked on social media why Taobao does not support WeChat Pay, as WeChat Pay brags more active users than Alipay with lower transaction fees.
NATIONAL ARTS (8228.HK) says it poses overwhelming risks for it to be engaged in a single business amid the coronavirus crisis. The company thus proposes to take over CONVOY (1019.HK) and hopes the business diversification will spread the risks. Takingover of CONVOY will help NATIONAL ARTS achieve its goal to develop e-finance business, opined Sin. Leveraging on CONVOY's well established sales team, NATIONAL ARTS may more effectively sell its movie tickets and products as well.
EVERGRANDE (3333.HK) plans to spin off its property management business for Hong Kong listing as soon as 1H21 to raise US$1-2 billion, IFR citing insiders.
UBER in response to earlier disclosures to move its Asia-Pacific headquarters to Hong Kong, Uber stated that its regional headquarters will be kept in Singapore in the near term for not receiving the required level of certainty from HKSAR Govt.
BUD APAC (1876.HK) noted significant improvement in various channels and higher market share as China had gradually rebooted her economic activities in May and June, said Co-Chair and CEO Jan Craps. He envisioned an encouraging business performance in the second half of year, with unpredictable figures subject to changes amid the plague.
At lunch STANCHART (2888.HK) unveiled its interim results. The statutory profit before tax -33% yearly to US$1.627 billion, slightly ahead of the consensus. The statutory net profit -29% yearly to US$1.048 billion. In response to a request from the Prudential Regulation Authority, the Board had decided after careful consideration that no interim dividend on ordinary shares will be accrued, recommended or paid in 2020. The Board fully recognized the importance of dividends to its owners and it hoped to reinstate them as soon as prudently possible.
At lunch HANG LUNG PPT 1H20 Swings to $2.54B Net Loss; Underlying NP -10.8% to $1.99B; Interim DPS Kept at $0.17
HSBC announced to keep Best Lending Rate unchanged at 5%, and the interest rate on HKD savings accounts held steady as well.
HKMA in response to the US Fed's intact rate arrangement, said it believed the Fed to maintain its policy rate at near zero for some time. For Hong Kong, it said the liquidity in the banking system remains ample and its foreign exchange and money markets have continued to operate smoothly. The Strong-side Convertibility Undertaking under the Linked Exchange Rate System (LERS) was triggered again last night, the thirtieth time since April. The repeated triggering of the Strong-side Convertibility Undertaking has led to over HK$109 billion of funds flowing into the Hong Kong dollar. The HKMA will continue to monitor market developments and maintain monetary and financial stability in accordance with the LERS.
Savills said in its Prime Residential World Cities Index that the pandemic and the subsequent lockdowns evidently disrupted global real estate markets. The pandemic impact on prime residential values in cities around the world resulted in a fall of 0.5% for capital values. Nine out of the 28 cities monitored saw positive prime capital value movements over 1H20, given strong domestic demand and limited supply. In Hong Kong, housing prices continued to top the world. Although they dropped approximately 4.2% in 1H20, price per sq.ft. remained at US$4,440.
The Government intends to relax the dine-in service ban during breakfast and lunchtime from tomorrow, local media citing rumors. A maximum of two people are allowed at each table, and the patronage ceiling at 50% of the seat number at each restaurant.
Canalys wrote in its research report that Huawei topped Samsung and ranked top in smartphone shipment for the first time during the second quarter of 2020. During the period, Huawei shipped 55.8 million smartphones, -5% yearly.
China's gaming market achieved sales revenue of RMB139.493 billion from January to June, up 22.34% yearly, according to a game sector report. The size of game players burgeoned 1.97% annually to nearly 660 million in the period.
HUI XIAN REIT (87001.HK) said that due to the pandemic outbreak of COVID-19 and its impact on the global and Mainland China economy, the appraised value of the investment properties as at 30 June 2020 is expected to approximate RMB31 billion (compared to the appraised value of RMB32.938 billion as at 31 December 2019). With changes in fair value of investment properties taken to profit and loss account, HUI XIAN REIT expects to record a net loss for the six months ended 30 June 2020, compared to a profit for the corresponding period in 2019.
ByteDance Some investors are seeking to take over TikTok, valuing the social media app at US$50 billion, significantly higher than its peer Snap, Reuters citing people familiar with the matter.

PRE MARKET
XIAOMI-W (1810.HK) announced that Zeng Xuezhong 
will serve as the group's vice president and head of smartphone division. Zeng will be responsible for the handset R&D and production and will report to Chairman Lei Jun. Zeng has over 20 years of experience in the telecom sector, once serving as the CEO of ZTE's mobile division.
CKH HOLDINGS (1.HK)'s A.S. Watson announced that as an effort to prepare for consumer spending stimulation when the COVID-19 situation eases, it has decided to open up Moneyback to help all retailers to promote their business for free. The planned campaign is expected to encourage cross-retailer shopping in all 18 districts. The chain retailer now invites all retailers and caterers to register the program free of charge as an immediate step, said the statement.
WANDA HOTEL DEV (169.HK) announced to sell a 90% stake in Parcel C LLC, a subsidiary of the Company, at the consideration of US$270 million (equivalent to approximately HK$2.093 billion). Parcel C LLC owns a land known as Vista Tower, located at 363-401 East Wacker Drive, Chicago, Illinois, USA. The company applied for a trading resumption with effect from today.
In light of the community outbreak of novel coronavirus in Hong Kong, the Government should launch a universal free screening before the confirmed case figure surges geometrically like other countries, Zhong Nanshan, the team leader of senior experts of National Health Commission of the PRC, said in a CCTV interview. In order to prevent a rampant outspread of the highly transmissible respiratory disease, all residents are advised to take the test, opined the Chinese health expert. Given, however, the high charges in private hospitals, the Government should put together free tests for citizens.
SUCHUANG GAS (1430.HK) announced that the Company and CNOOC Gas and Power Group, a subsidiary of CNOOC (883.HK), entered into a cooperation framework agreement for a term of five years from the date of the Cooperation Framework Agreement to establish a cooperative relationship in relation to, among other things, the development of the liquefied natural gas (LNG) sector and the construction of an LNG receiving terminal at the Taicang Port in Jiangsu Province.
CANSINOBIO-B (6185.HK) announced that the A-share offer price is RMB209.71 per share, involving 24.80 million shares to raise RMB5.2 billion.
The TENCENT (700.HK) -backed WeDoctor was ruled out of listing for the sensitive patient and government data involved in its business overhaul, IFR citing sources. The firm will push back its IPO until early 2021. The healthcare solutions platform also plans for a pre-IPO funding to raise about US$300 million.
BUD APAC (1876.HK) results for the six months ended 30 June 2020. Revenue was US$2.575 billion, -26.9% yearly. Net profit amounted to US$185 million, -69.5% YoY.. EPS equaled US1.4 cents. No interim dividend was declared.
Chinese Premier Li Keqiang, hosting the executive meeting of the State Council on 29 July, laid out his blueprint on further stabilization of foreign trade and capital. The meeting guided that China should beef up the risk-off capability of foreign enterprises, for example promoting "Credit Insurance + Guarantee" to render foreign companies with credit support; and encouraging Midwest and Northeast China to leverage their strengths to undertake labor-intensive foreign trade industry.
New business models, like cross-border e-commerce, overseas warehouse, foreign trade comprehensive service business, should be supported. He also rolled out new initiatives for employment innovation for peasant workers to safeguard jobs and people's living. Li's initiatives included amplifying development of life service industry and labor-intensive industry; and offering greater policy incentive to attract peasant workers. He advocated to support peasant workers to work nearby their hometowns and increase wages-to-capital ratio to above 15% from 10%.
YINCHENG LS (1922.HK) Positive profit alert, expecting an increase in the consolidated net profit attributable to owners of the Company for the six months ended 30 June 2020 by not less than 60% as compared to the corresponding period in 2019, mainly attributable to an increase in the Group’s gross floor area under management.
CEC INT'L HOLD (759.HK) results for the year ended 30 April 2020. It swung into net profit of HK$12.35 million, against the loss of HK$9.52 million over a year-ago period. The EPS equaled HK1.85 cents. A final dividend of HK0.5 cents was declared.

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