July 16 HSI -511pts T/O +40% DoD After weak China data.


20 Jul

July 16 HSI -511pts T/O +40% DoD After weak China data.

HSI -511pts (-2%) 24,971  HSCEI -257pts (-2.5%) 10,134  T/O HK$199.79bn (+39.8% DoD)  

EUROPE Markets opened lower following the weak China data.

US FUTURES opened +VE but turned lower on the weak China data


INDEXES      CSI 300 Closed -228pts (-4.8%) @ 4,516 Market opened slight lower and initially sold down after the release pre market of the China House Price Index +4.9% MoM but still the slowest pace since May 2018.  Markets then rallied into the green ahead of the rest of the China data, which was mixed and of most concern was the weak Retail Sales number which is a concern and suggests Domestic sentiment is very weak. Markets then sold down first support was 4,670 which held a couple of times and then 4,640 ahead of lunch.  PM saw increased selling and the market closed around the day lows.  No doubt some retail just sold out but I would expect more retail margin calls tomorrow to create some early selling pressure.  Sentiment weak as governments funds indicated they were selling over the past couple of days and concerns over China’s worsening relationships with US. UK, EU, Australia, India and a number of Sea China Sea countries too.

BUT SMIC closed +202% having risen as much as 245% on its debut on the Star Board


HSI Pre Market +67pts @ 25,549 vs +44pts ADR's @ 25,525 E-commerce names weak. Along with new of share placements from Zhengtong Auto (1728 HK) and Jiumaojiu (9922 HK). After the initial uptick market tested yesterday’s closing level before working higher ahead of the China data but then sold down on the weak Retail Sales data. Morning support was around 25,150 ahead of the lunch break. PM saw initial selling down to 25,060 level followed by a bounce back to the lunchtime level but after 2pm as Europe came in the selling continued for the rest of the session into the close.

No doubt there were some retail margin calls in the afternoon and I would expect more overnight so expect selling pressure on the open tomorrow.

Sentiment weak as White House officials create a list of names for target sanctions which includes Carrie Lam although Trump said no more sanctions for the time being. China called the US ambassador to protest at Trump’s signing of the HK Autonomy Bill saying it violated International Law, which is difficult to see how and ironic when one considers China's attitude to international laws it doesn’t agree with; like over the South China Sea 9 dash line! Also hurting sentiment were the statements from the Hong Kong and Macau Affairs Office about the Pro Democrat ‘preliminaries’ last weekend and the rising number of Covid cases and deaths in Hong Kong.



AFTER MARKET
EDVANTAGE GROUP (382.HK) will see the end of the second semester 
of the 2019/2020 school year within this month, while students will gradually return to schools starting from end August to early October, revealed Chief Operating Officer Wenqi Liu. Liu expected the 2020/21 full-time student enrolments to grow to roughly 38,300 from about 34,800 a year ago, up by around 3,500 students.

COSCO SHIP ENGY (1138.HK) +VE PROFIT WARNING expects to record a net profit for the six months ended 30 June 2020 in the range of RMB2.81 billion to RMB3.01 billion, as compared to approximately RMB470 million net profit for the same period of 2019.

The Hong Kong Jockey Club stated that the local betting turnover of local horserace -8.3% QoQ to $93.2 billion during the year of 2019-20.

Deutsche Bank's new Asia CEO will be based in Singapore, instead of Hong Kong, Bloomberg reported. Alexander von zur Muehlen will take office as Asia CEO in Singapore, in replacement of Werner Steinmueller who will be retired at end-July, said a spokesperson.

SHK PPT (16.HK) unveiled the first price list for its Tuen Mun residential project, Regency Bay, involving 88 flats measuring 261-437 sq.ft. each. The units comprise of 21 open studios, 43 one-bedroom flats and 24 two-bedroom flats. The project priced each flat at $6.0113-9.158 million. With a maximum 22% discount, the selling prices ranged $4.6888-7.1432 million, i.e. $17,377 per sq.ft. on average.

Centraline MD said Regency Bay, the first project to unveil price list amid the 3th wave of COVID-19 outbreak, was launched with down-to-earth pricing as its developer aimed to sound out market response, The total selling prices are enticing despite aggressive price per sq.ft. for the first batch, he added.

FENGXIANG CO (9977.HK) closed at $3.36, up 3 cents or 0.9% against the listing price of $3.33, on volume of 70.82 million shares and turnover of over $243 mil

CBHB (9668.HK) concluded the day at $4.8, flattish with the listing price, on

volume of 176 million shares and turnover of $840 million.

JIAXING GAS (9908.HK) closed at $11.04, up $1.04 or 10.4% against the listing price of $10, on volume of 4.42 million shares and turnover of $58.42 million. Excluding the handling fees, a book gain of $520 was reported per board lot of 500 shares.

Centa Valuation Index (Major Banks) (CVI) at 46.09, -6.90 pts WoW

The steeper slide in reading hinted at banks' proactive efforts in controlling credit risks amid unfinished social conflicts and their ongoing prudence to mortgaging due to the community outbreak of novel coronavirus. Home prices may go on jumbling in a near term, rather than turning around into a fall, unless the index busts below the critical level 40. The fresh round of anti-pandemic measures rolled out this week and the deprival of Hong Kong privileged treatment by the U.S. may reflect on CVI in the coming two weeks.


Market and Pre Market News at bottom of page.


Short Selling HSI 
Thursday 19.1% vs 20.3%Wednesday

Top Shorts Wharf REIC (1997) 51%, SHKP (16) 33%, Hang Seng Bank (11) 32%, CCB (939) 31%, Bank of China (3988) 30%, Ping An (2318) 29%, Henderson Land (12) 28%, BoC HK (2388) 28%, HSBC (5) 27%, MTRC (66) 26%, NWD New (17) 26%, China Res Land (1109) 25%, HK & China Gas (3) 25%.


CONNECT FLOWS 

Shanghai

Northbound Rmb 78,829m Sell 40,600m : 38,229m Buy

Southbound HK$ 26,245m Sell 13,870m : 12,375m Buy

Shenzhen

Northbound Rmb101,205m Sell 52,877m : 48,328m Buy

Southbound HK$ 22,485m Sell 10,292m : 12,194m Buy



DATA
CHINA
PRE MARKET 
House Price Index Jun +4.9% YoY vs +4.9% May (F/cast was +5%) Softest since May 2018

DURING MARKET 

GDP Growth Rate Q2 +3.2% YoY vs -6.8% prior (F/cast was +2.4%)

GDP Growth Rate Q2 +11.5% QoQ vs -9.8% prior (F/cast was +10.2%)

Clearly beat but concerns about the resurgence in Covid-19 cases since the data was collected

Industrial Production Jun +4.8% YoY vs +4.4% May (F/cast was +4.8%)

Retail Sales Jun -1.8% YoY vs -2.8% May (F/cast was +0.5%)A big concern

Unemployment Jun 5.7% vs 5.9% May (F/cast as 5.7%)

Industrial Capacity Utilisation Q2 74.4% vs 67.3% prior (F/cast was 75%)

Fixed Asset Investment (YTD) Jun -3.1% YoY vs -6.3% May (F/cast was -3.3%)


HONG KONG 

Centre for Health Protection said there were 67 additional COVID-19 cases in Hong Kong today; 63 were local transmission with 35 sources unknown -VE

AFTER MARKET 

Census and Statistics Department released today (July 16) the volume and price statistics of external merchandise trade for May 2020, Volume of Hong Kong's total exports of goods -6.7% YoY and imports -11% YoY

Prices of total exports of goods -0.8% YoY and imports -0.9% YoY


Active Heavyweights
HKEX (388.HK) -5.7%
TENCENT (700.HK) -5.5%
PING AN (2318.HK) -1.6%
AIA (1299.HK) -0.9% 

HSI & HSCEI Constituents on the move
Fell between 12% and 31%

HSMI & HSSI Constituents on the move

Fell between 25% and 10%.  Except CNLP (1589.HK) +3.5%, hits new high


COMMENT

*FUND-RAISING CH ZHENGTONG AUTO (1728 HK -19.4%) to sell as many as 245.2m shares at HK$1.09 in top-up placement, represents 15.5% discount to last closing price of HK$1.29.

JIUMAOJIU (9922 HK -7.9%) share sale/top-up placement to raise US$135m. An offering of 86m Jiumaojiu International Holdings shares in a concurrent top-up placement and stake sale at HK$11.99 each, a 5.44% discount to Wednesday’s closing price of HK$12.68.

*METALS/RESOURCES WEAK Concerns about US/China relations; related ministries to announced the mining quota for rare earth minerals after China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs has spoken and will take all necessary measures to safeguard the legitimate rights and interests of Chinese enterprises! CH RARE EARTH (769 HK unch) MMG (1208 HK -7.7%) CHALCO (2600 HK -4.8%) JIANGXI COPPER (358 HK -5.7%).

*TECH & COMPONENTS WEAK . SEMICONDUCTOR makers plunged despite SMIC's (981 HK -22%) But its A share closed +202% on it debut in Shanghai surging more than double the offer price. Heavy selling seen in SMIC as the premium gap narrows following SMIC's listing;

HUA HONG SEMI (1347 HK -18%) FIT HON TENG (6088 HK -11%).

US Sec State announced new visa restrictions for some Huawei employees, said linked to Chinese Communist Party’s human rights abuses, including against Muslims and other minorities. ZTE (763 HK -4.4%) AAC TECH (2018 HK -4%) BYDE (285 HK -6.8%) TRULY (732 HK -7.8%).

*E-COMMERCE/SOFTWARE WEAK as investors locks in gains from the speculation of HSI Tech & Innovation index and index inclusion on recently-listed large cap names and comments from the US about action against TikTok and WeChat.

ALIBABA (9988 HK -4%) NETEASE (9999 HK -4.5%) MEITUAN (3690 HK -7.9%) TENCENT (700 HK -5%).

SOFTWARE/APPS providers mostly slumped on the back of ChiNext A-sh heavy correction.

*CHINA PROPERTY WEAK China's average new home prices rebounded in June, with avg price of new homes in 70 cities +0.58% MoM, and average new home price +4.87% YoY BUT that is the slowest since May 2018.

Also news that Shenzhen announced new restrictions on home purchases yesterday in a fresh bid to curb sharp price rises and market speculation. Now buyers have to have residency permits and made tax or social security contributions for three years before being eligible to buy. Previously, anyone with a residency permit could buy.

HOPSON DEV (754 HK +6.3%) said 1H contracted sales grew by 14.6% YoY to 13b yuan.

EVERGRANDE (3333 HK -4.8%) SUNAC (1918 HK -3.9%) JINMAO (817 HK -3%) SHIMAO (813 HK -4.7%).

*CHINA CONSUMERS WEAK after poor China retail sales numbers and ANTA (2020 HK -6.8%) pre market warned its net profit for the first half could drop up to 35% YoY. Also pre market CH LILANG (1234 HK -3.5%) expects to see a 30-35% YoY drop in net profit.

LI NING (2331 HK -3.6%) CHINA DONGXIANG (3818 HK -7.8%).

SKYWORTH (751 HK +2.6%) expects interim net profit to rise more than 60% YoY due to better operations management, improving control over operating costs and reducing the negative impact of the COVID-19 pandemic to the Group’s operations;

GOME (493 HK -1.7%) HISENSE (921 HK -2.2%).

BUT CR BEER (291 HK -2.9%) and TSINGTAO (168 HK -5.5%) following weakness in A-shs white liquor names after state media took aim at the high price of Kweichow Moutai, saying the alcohol was often used in corruption cases.


REGIONAL MARKETS 

JAPAN Opened lower effectively traded sideways for most of the morning but sold down into lunch. After lunch it opened lower and traded sideways with a small uptick into the close Nikkei 225 Closed -0.8% and the Topix index -0.7% having followed a similar pattern

S KOREA Opened slightly higher but initial sold down into the red before trading sideways then sold down late morning and then trading sideways Kosdaq then sold off in the PM with bounce at the end to close -0.8% whilst the Kospi continued to trade sideways to close -0.8%. BoK left interest rate unchanged.

TAIWAN Opened lower initial trended higher into the green but again sold down late morning, and then gradually recovered in the PM to close -0.4%


NEWS
MARKET HOURS 

TSMC 2Q20 revenue increased 28.9% YoY to TWD310.699 billion. In the quarter, net profit after tax reached TWD120.822 billion, up 81% yearly and beating TWD110.55 billion in consensus.

The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) alerted members of the public to an alleged fraudulent website of Livi Bank Limited, which has been reported to the HKMA

BEIGENE (6160.HK)  -10.500 (-7.123%) said  the completion of issuance of 146 million common shares of the company at a face value of US$0.0001 per share to specific existing investors.  Each common share was sold at a purchase price of US$14.2308, equivalent to US$185 per ADS. The total issuance income was about US$2.08 billion. Deducting administrative fee of the issue, the net income amounted to US$2.07 billion.

Overnight HIBOR last posted at 0.07286%, logging a 1-month low, according to HKAB. Meanwhile, the 1-Month HIBOR related to mortgage rate last stood at 0.30446%, down for 5 days, marking a 1-month low.

Chinese President Xi Jinping in a letter to Global CEO Council, pointed out Beijing's preparation to facilitate plague prevention and control as well as economic and social development, reported Xinhua. The country aims to build a moderately prosperous society in all respects and alleviate poverty. China's long-term economic growth fundamentals remain unchanged and will not change, Xi added The country will continued to deepen reforms and scale up market liberalization.

HKEX (388.HK) CEO Charles Li opined at an online forum that Hong Kong National Security Law plays a pivotal role in calming the social turmoils which broke out since last year and that the legislation may bolster "One Country, Two Systems”. While "Hong Kong Autonomy Act" passed by the White House is not something the financial hub wants, the act will unlikely trigger underlying changes because China and the rest of the world still need the city, in Li's opinion. He also said that investors may have to wait till next year for a meaningful breakthrough in "Commodity Connect”. Amid the 20th anniversary of listing, HKEX has become the largest exchange in world in terms of market value with its share price spurting from $3.88 on debut to the current level, added Li.

HKEX celebrated a fruitful year in 2020, when returns had been reaped from its investment over the past few years, furthered Li, expecting the growing ADT to favour its financial and business performances.

The US will meet her target of a coronavirus vaccine by end-2020, reports Reuters citing Anthony Fauci, Director of the U.S. National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases. Fauci foretold Moderna’s vaccine trial results to be promising.


PRE MARKET
FOSUN PHARMA (02196.HK) Said that Fosun Pharmaceutical Industrial, 
a subsidiary of the Company, was approved by the National Medical Products Administration to initiate a phase I clinical trial of the COVID-19 mRNA vaccine in Mainland China. The cumulative R&D investment in the vaccine was in the amount of RMB14.06 million.

JobsDB unveiled the survey findings on the workplace amid epidemic, showing over one-fourth of employees had suffered a salary cut of 30% or above. 46% of the respondents saw suspended or reduced bonuses, halted pay raises and frozen salary under the pandemic. An independent research institution was engaged by JobsDB to survey 3,100 employees and over 800 employers in May.

TENCENT (700.HK)’s Clash Royale, a game launched by Supercell four years ago, has surmounted US$3 billion in lifetime revenue to be the second-highest grossing mobile title of all time, according to Sensor Tower's report. It sits at No. 2 to Clash of Clans, which has amassed nearly US$7 billion to date. Clash Royale has mainly derived its revenue from the United States (30.8%), followed by Germany (9%) and China (6.8%).

COSCO SHIP PORT (1199.HK) June throughput inched down 0.6% YoY to 8.5997 million TEUs.

FOSUN INTL (656.HK) has dropped out from talks for investments in two Indian healthcare firms, which involve more than US$300 million, amid increasing China-India disputes, Indian press reported.

GOLDIN FIN HOLD (530.HK) said the Company and subsidiaries received several notifications concerning certain indebtedness owed by Smart Edge, Cheng Mei and Goal Eagle. The notes and loans, in addition to the related interest rates, involved approximately $8.54 billion. The company has resumed the trading in its shares today.

The White House has a list of sanctioned Chinese officials, including Hong Kong Chief Executive Carrie Lam and Chinese Vice Premier Han Zheng, Bloomberg citing insiders. However, US President decided to hold off the announcement and implementation of sanction list before clearing Hong Kong Autonomy Act as he did not want escalation in tensions against China, said the report.

MACAU On the first day of resumed Macao-Guangdong customs clearance yesterday and with travellers between Macao and Guangdong no longer subject to a 14-day quarantine, the visitor footfall remained low as the Individual Visit Scheme pass has not yet resumed, whereas gamblers were required to show nucleic acid test results before entering casinos, Macao Daily reported. In Centro, around 1-2 gamblers entered casinos each some 10 minutes, while luxury brand stores and restaurants nearby were far from the pre-pandemic prosperity, said the report. As for Cotai, casino staff still outnumbered customers!

PICC GROUP (1339.HK) announced that due to work arrangements, Miao Jianmin has tendered his resignation as an executive director, the chairman, and the chairman of the Strategy & Investment Committee of the Board. Meanwhile, Miao has resigned as the chairman of the Board and an executive director from PICC P&C (02328.HK) with immediate effect.

HKC (HOLDINGS) (190.HK) said that during the period from 1 November 2019 to 15 July 2020, the Group acquired on the open market a total of 2.4635 million CK ASSET (1113.HK) Shares (representing 0.067% of the share capital) at an aggregate consideration of HK$119.5 million at an average price of HK$48.53 per Share.




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