Marco Data Impacting Asia March 29 - 2 April

28 Mar

Several important events this week; primary being the month and quarter end and an expected significant re-balance with bonds being bought and equities being sold. The question is whether asset allocator's will stick to the 60:40 historical balance?  The hedge benefit of bonds is being called into question at present.We also get the US payrolls data and a lot countries releasing Manufacturing PMI data.

Also on the agenda is President Biden’s infrastructure plan due to be released Wednesday and expected to involve US$3-4tn.

For some it will be a short week, with the approach of Easter and a lot of markets closed for Good Friday; including Hong Kong which is also closed on the Monday and Tuesday
(Qingming Festival and Easter Monday).
Japanese year end, so their bond purchases are expected to increase.
Other key data this week in addition to the PMI data includes
Japan Retail Sales and the Tankan survey.
S Korea Business Confidence, Industrial & Manufacturing Production data, Retail Sales and Balance of Trade
China Official and Caixin PMI data
Hong Kong Retail Sales and a lot of company earnings up to end of Month .

Euro Zone sentiment data, Inflation
Germany Inflation, Import Prices, Unemployment and Retail Sales.
France Inflation and PPI
UK Mortgage applications, GDP Growth, Nationwide House Prices, Inflation.

US House Price Index, Pending Home Sales, ADP and Challenger Data, ISM data.

Saturday 27 March 
CHINA Industrial Profits YTD Feb +178.9% YoY vs +4.1% Jan (F/cast was +4.7%)
Suggesting the economy consolidated its recovery from last year's massive slump. Profits soared at both state-owned industrial firms (182%) and private-sector (136.7%). Among the 41 industries surveyed, 38 saw profit rises. The communications posted the largest increase in profit (-5,891.5%), followed by automobile (2,525.6%), chemical raw materials (498.4%), electrical machinery & equipment (430.8%), special equipment manufacturing (399%), general equipment (319.3%), ferrous metal smelting (3,895.8%), coal mining (204.4%), textile (142.5%), non-metallic mineral products (81.9%), and power, electricity (44.7%). In contrast, profits at oil and natural gas extraction industry fell (-28.7%).
Monday 29 March 
JAPAN BoJ Summary of Opinions
S KOREA No data due
TAIWAN No data due
CHINA  No data due
HONG KONG  No data due
EUROZONE  No data due
GERMANY  No data due
FRANCE  No data due
UK BoE Consumer Credit, Mortgage Lending & Approvals, Net Lending to Individuals.
US Dallas Fed Manufacturing IndexFed’s Waller speaks
Earnings Vaxcyte, Cal-Maine Foods

Tuesday 30 March
JAPAN Unemployment Rate, Jobs/application Ratio, Retail Sales
S KOREA No data due
TAIWAN No data due
CHINA No data due
HONG KONG Retail Sales
EUROZONE Economic Sentiment, Consumer Confidence, Consumer Inflation Expectations, Industrial Sentiment, Services Sentiment
GERMANY Import Prices, Inflation Rate,
FRANCE Consumer Confidence
UK No data due
US Redbook, Case-Shiller Home Price, House Price Index, CB Consumer Confidence, API Crude Oil Stock Change
Earnings: Lululemon Athletica, Chewy, McCormick, BioNtech, FactSet, Blackberry, PVH

Wednesday 31 March
JAPAN Industrial Production, Housing Starts, Construction Orders
S KOREA Business Confidence, Construction Output, Industrial Production, Manufacturing Production, Retail Sales
TAIWAN No data due
CHINA Manufacturing and Non Manufacturing PMI
HONG KONG  No data due
EUROZONE Core Inflation Rate and Inflation Rate
GERMANY Unemployment Change and Rate
FRANCE Inflation Rate, Household Consumption, PPI
UK Current Account, GDP Growth Rate, Nationwide Housing Prices, Business Investment,
US MBA mortgage Applications and 30 yr Mortgage Rate, ADP Employment Change, Chicago PMI, Pending Home Sales, EIA Oil Change, USDA Prospective Plantings Report.
Earnings: Walgreens Boots Alliance, Micron, Dave & Buster’s, Guess

Thursday 1 April 
JAPAN Tankan Survey (Large Manufacturers Index, Large All Industry Capex, Large Manufacturing Outlook, Large Non Manufacturing Index and Small Manufacturers Index). Foreigner Stock and Bond Investment,  Manufacturing PMI.  10 year JGB Auction
S KOREA Balance of Trade, Exports, Imports, Manufacturing PMI
TAIWAN Manufacturing PMI
CHINA Caixin Manufacturing PMI
HONG KONG No data due
EUROZONE Manufacturing PMI
GERMANY Retail Sales, Manufacturing PMI
FRANCE Manufacturing PMI, New Car Registrations
UK Manufacturing PMI
US Challenger Job Cuts, Initial Claims, 4 Week Average Claims, Continuing Claims, Manufacturing PMI, Construction Spending, ISM Manufacturing Data (PMI, New Orders, Prices and Employment), EIA Natural Gas Stocks, Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count, Total Vehicle Sales.
Earnings: CarMax

Friday 2 April 
JAPAN  No data due
Inflation Rate
TAIWAN  No data due
CHINA  No data due
HONG KONG  No data due Market Closed for Good Friday
EUROZONE  No data due
GERMANY No data due Market Closed for Good Friday
FRANCE Budget Balance Market Closed for Good Friday
UK No data due Market Closed for Good Friday
US Market closed.  Non Farm Payrolls, Unemployment, Average Hourly Earnings, Average Weekly Hours, Participation Rate, ISM New York Index.

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